Wine Industry Statistics - Winegrape Production Outlook

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Winegrape Production Outlook

According to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE), in 2010-11, winegrape production is projected to increase by 10% relative to 2009-10, to 1.78 million tonnes (see table below). This forecast is based on the assumption of favourable seasonal conditions (that is, without the occurrence of a severe weather event, as experienced in each of the past three years). The average yield of wine grapes is forecast to be 11.2 tonnes per hectare in 2010-11, and the bearing area of vines is forecast to be 159,800 ha. In 2011-12, winegrape production is expected to remain steady as national bearing area is only expected to increase marginally.

Red winegrapes are expected to account for the majority of winegrapes produced in Australia throughout the projection period (see table below). This reflects the larger bearing area of red winegrape varieties in Australia, which is sufficient to offset their generally lower yields compared with white winegrapes. Shiraz is expected to remain the highest-volume winegrape variety produced in Australia throughout the projection period. Chardonnay is expected to be the next greatest represented variety, followed by Cabernet Sauvignon. Collectively, these three varieties are expected to account for 60% of total Australian winegrape production in 2011-12, similar to the 61% they accounted for in 2008-09. Merlot and Semillon are expected to remain the next largest varieties produced in Australia, followed by Sauvignon Blanc.

In 2010-11 and 2011-12, wine grape production in the warm climate zones is expected to increase. This projection is based on the assumption of favourable seasonal conditions and, accordingly, a recovery in the yields in these zones from the levels of 2009-10. Production in the cool-climate zones in 2010-11 and 2011-12 is projected to fall slightly, by 1%, relative to 2009-10. This projection is based on the assumption that yields for some varieties will return to their long-term average which is slightly below that achieved in 2009-10.

Estimated and projected winegrape production in Australia, by variety

Estimated
production

Projected production

08-09 kt

09-10 kt

10-11 kt

11-12 kt

Premium Red

Cabernet Sauvignon

241

250

252

254

Merlot

117

127

127

128

Pinot Noir

37

40

41

44

Shiraz

418

416

421

427

Total Premium Red

814

833

841

852

Premium White

Chardonnay

325

403

403

404

Colombard

54

66

66

66

Riesling

41

40

41

41

Sauvignon Blanc

65

72

77

82

Semillon

81

96

96

98

Total Premium White

567

677

684

692

Multipurpose White

43

48

52

54

Minor Varieties - Red

86

101

92

94

Minor Varieties - White

108

124

116

119

Total Red

900

934

934

945

Total White

717

849

852

864

Total

1,617

1,783

1,785

1,810

1Includes sultanas used in wine production. Notes: Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: ABARE Research Report 10.4 April 2010

Table 9. Projected specialist winegrape production in Australia, by zone

Estimated production

Projected
production

08-09 kt

09-10 kt

10-11 kt

11-12 kt

South Australia

Barossa

61

76

76

76

Mt Lofty Ranges

75

83

74

75

Fleurieu

90

111

111

111

Limestone Coast

108

127

108

108

Lower Murraya

316

273

330

332

Far North and The Peninsulas

2

2

2

2

Total

652

672

702

706

New South Wales and ACT

Hunter Valley

23

21

21

21

Big Rivers (excl. Murray Darling)a

237

208

237

242

Central Ranges

43

38

51

51

Rest of NSW and ACT

14

15

15

15

Total

316

282

323

329

Greater Victoria

Central

25

25

25

26

North East

20

22

23

23

Port Phillip and Gippsland

17

25

25

25

Rest of Victoria

6

9

9

9

Total

69

80

83

84

Murray-Darling-Swan Hilla

332

271

325

330

Western Australia

56

66

67

67

Tasmania

6

7

8

8

Queensland

2

2

2

2

Total specialist winegrapes

1,432

1,380

1,510

1,525

Notes: aWarm climate zones. Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: ABARE Research Report 10.4 April 2010